Brad
----------
> From: Liam M. McFarlane <LiamM@Dion-Durrell.com>
> To: 'Lawn,Yin' <Yin.Lawn@cna.com> casnet@lists.casact.org
> Subject: RE: Disabled live mortality
> Date: Wednesday, May 26, 1999 1:28 PM
>
> HIV cut down on Magic's sex life no doubt
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Lawn,Yin [mailto:Yin.Lawn@cna.com]
> Sent: Wednesday, May 26, 1999 1:56 PM
> To: casnet@lists.casact.org
> Subject: Disabled live mortality
>
>
>
> Regarding Regina's question on disability live mortality, I used to work
for
> a life company pricing disability insurance.
>
> What we did then was to separate disability into different types and
causes,
> i.e. permanent total, temporary total, lose of limbs, type of
> diseases...etc, then modify the normal life mortality table based on our
own
> data.
>
> Generally speaking, what we found out was that for the most part,
mortality
> rates worsen when one has a disability claim. In other words, arguments
> favor higher mortality rates seem to dominate the arguments favor low
> mortality rate. HIV, for example, has a 100% mortality rate after 25 - 30
> years of infection(this is back in the early 90s). This will certainly
> increase the mortality rate for most people if the disability is due to
HIV
> infection.
>
> Note: Definition of "disability" for the life side might be different
from
> the casualty side. Hence the experience from the life side might not be
> applicable to the casualty side. For example, some might argue that HIV
> infection should not be considered as a "disability." However, in some
> disability insurance, definition is triggered as long as the claimant can
> not perform his/her own occupation due to the disease regardless he/she
has
> the ability or not. Magic Johnson, for example, would probably be
considered
> as "disable" in that case.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> rom: Regina Berens <ReginaBerens@worldnet.att.net>
> To: List Casnet <casnet@lists.casact.org>
> Date: Friday, May 14, 1999 7:07 AM
> Subject: Disabled Lives mortality
>
>
> >
> > Gary Blumsohn's recent Proceedings paper (which can be downloaded from
the
>
> > CAS Web site) got me started thinking again about what mortality rates
are
>
> > appropriate for long-term disability claims. I've worked with OD
claims
> >in
> > the past, which is an area where little is published- most disabled
lives
>
> > tables are based on disabilities from accidents.
> >
> > Some arguments in favor of assuming higher mortality (Blumsohn points
out
> > that using the 1990 ordinary mortality table, in effect, does this
since
> > mortality has improved in the last decade):
> >
> > 1. General health may be adversely affected by whatever caused the
> > disability.
> > 2. Side effects of medications, etc. needed to stabilize condition.
> >
> > Arguments in favor of lower mortality:
> >
> > 1. Regular medical care.
> > 2. Less high-risk behavior.
> >
> > Or does it depend upon circumstances? There's some evidence that for
> > Occupational Disease claimants, mortality is higher for those who
develop
> > the disease early and lower for those who develop it late. It also
> > depends, of course, on the nature of the disability. Blumsohn also
> >brought
> > up the interesting point that Robin Gillam, who did study disabled
lives
> > mortality, did not dollar-weight claims, and that the more expensive
> >claims
> > may have higher mortality because they are more severe.
> >
> > There are high stakes in this for casualty actuaries- particularly in
the
>
> > areas of Workers' Comp. and unlimited PIP claims. I'd be interested to
> > hear what other actuaries think.
> >
> > Regina Berens
> > Scruggs Consulting
>
>
>
> Visit the CAS Web Site at http://www.casact.org
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