Distributions stationnaires d'un système bonus-malus et probabilité de ruine

Abstract
It is shown how the stationary distributions of a bonus-malus system can be computed recursively it is further shown that there is an intrinsic relationship between such a stationary distribution and the probability of rum in the risk- theoretical model The recursive algorithm is applied to the Swiss bonus-malus system for automobile third-party liability and can be used to evaluate ruin probabilities. Keywords Bonus-malus, stationary distributions; probability of ruin.
Volume
18:1
Page
31-46
Year
1988
Categories
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Ratemaking
Experience Rating
Business Areas
Automobile
Personal
Financial and Statistical Methods
Risk Pricing and Risk Evaluation Models
Probability of Ruin
Publications
ASTIN Bulletin
Authors
François Dufresne