Abstract
This paper presents a discussion of the key issues facing the financial regulation of insurance companies in the post-crisis era. While the moral hazard created in the financial sector by provision of financial guarantee insurance is difficult to overstate, we focus on the issues concerning insurers’ excessive provision of insurance, under-capitalization, and related systemic risks. We argue that these systemic risks stem from a too-interconnected-to-fail problem, manifested most perversely in the case of A.I.G. We provide a way to measure the systemic risk contributions of insurers based on market data and calculate this measure (called Marginal Expected Shortfall or MES) for insurers in the United States during the period 2004-2007. We show that several insurers ranked highly on this measure compared to systemically risky banks over this period. We examine possible reasons for the emergence of insurers’ too-interconnected-to-fail problem. Under the current regulatory structure, when an insurer operating in a state defaults, state guarantee funds insure losses to the policyholders by charging premiums to other insurers operating in the state. Because these premiums are imposed after the fact and are not based on insurers’ risks, they provide no incentives for insurers to avoid systemic risks. Moreover, the absence of a federal regulator that can assess the systemic risk of insurers operating across states, charge them upfront premiums for their systemic risk contributions, and suitably manage their resolution in case of default is a significant problem. We propose therefore a federal insurance regulator and discuss its appropriate powers and relationship to federal banking regulator. We compare existing Treasury Department proposals to our recommendations and identify several areas for improvement.
Series
Working Paper
Year
2009
Institution
London Business School
Categories
Other Emerging Risks