Munich Chain Ladder: A Reserving Method that Reduces the Gap between IBNR Projections Based on Paid Losses and IBNR Projections Based on Incurred Losses

Abstract

“Munich Chain Ladder” by Dr. Quarg and Dr. Mack is being reprinted in Variance to give this important paper wider visibility within the actuarial community. The editors of Variance invited the authors to submit their paper for republication because we believe that the techniques described in their work should be known to all actuaries doing reserve analysis. We also hope to stimulate further research in this area. This paper is reprinted from Blätter der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Versicherungs- und Finanzmathematik, volume 26, number 4, 2004, pages 597—630. We thank the editors of that journal and the authors for allowing Variance to publish the paper.

Keywords: Reserving methods, chain ladder, loss development, reconciliation of paid and incurred projections

Volume
0002,0002,Fall
Page
0266-0299
Year
2008
Categories
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Reserving
Reconciliation
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Reserving
Reserve Variability
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Reserving
Reserving Methods
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Ratemaking
Trend and Loss Development
Publications
Variance
Authors
Gerhard Quarg
Thomas Mack