Report 6: Risk-Based Capital (RBC) Premium Risk Charges—Improvements to Current Calibration Method

Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to describe the results of research on methods to improve the Current Calibration Method (CCM) for premium risk charges for use in the NAIC RBC Formula. The paper shows how it is possible to construct risk charges that might be both more reflective of underlying risk and more stable over time than the CCM.

This paper shows the extent to which calibration of premium risk charges is affected by issues identified, but not measured, in prior research–premium size by line of business (LOB-size), pooling, and movement over time. The paper also identifies and measures the extent to which risk charges are affected by the following additional issues: (a) the “minor line” effect, which appears to distort risk charges for specialty lines of business (LOBs), (b) the effect of data maturity, and (c) the effect of ‘survivorship’, companies that stop filing annual statements.

This is one of several papers being issued by the Risk-Based Capital (RBC) Dependencies and Calibration Working Party.

Keywords: Risk-Based Capital, Capital Requirements, underwriting risk, reserve risk, premium risk, Analyzing/Quantifying Risks, Assess/Prioritizing Risks, Integrating Risks

Volume
Fall, Vol. 1
Page
1-83
Year
2013
Categories
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Enterprise Risk Management
Processes
Analyzing/Quantifying Risks
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Regulation and Law
Risk-Based Capital
Financial and Statistical Methods
Risk Measures
Publications
Casualty Actuarial Society E-Forum
Authors
Allan M Kaufman
Jennifer Wu
Daniel M Murphy