On the Strategy for Efficient Realization of Statistical Reasoning

Historical development of the logic of statistical reasoning is reviewed briefly and the informational view is discussed. The role of “true distribution” in the conventional statistics is explained and the necessity of considering alternative models is pointed out. The importance of the activity of constructing statistical models in the process of statistical reasoning is stressed and the use of the informational data set, composed of established knowledge, empirical findings, and observational data, is discussed. Utility of this constructive view is demonstrated by a realistic example of the golf swing analysis. The example shows that some strategic consideration is necessary for the construction of a practically useful model or image for the control of a complex autonomous system.

Key words: statistical model, information criterion, informational data set, golf swing.