Abstract
How does one measure the effect of improved policy retention on such key variables as market share and profitability? This paper will analyze this problem by: using the theory of Markov chains to model policy retention and to determine key values such as steady-state probabilities; using current spreadsheet technology to solve the key matrix equations from Markov chain theory; and applying these results to determine key business variables such as effects on profitability and market share.
Volume
LXXXV
Page
775-806
Year
1998
Keywords
predictive analytics
Categories
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Enterprise Risk Management
Processes
Analyzing/Quantifying Risks
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Enterprise Risk Management
Risk Categories
Strategic Risks
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Valuation
Financial Performance Measurement
Financial and Statistical Methods
Statistical Models and Methods
Time Series
Publications
Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society