Tails of Copulas

Abstract
Actuaries who want to model correlated joint distributions have a choice of quite a few copulas, but little basis for choosing one over another. Methods are provided here to describe the features of different copulas, so that more informed choices can be made.

Copulas differ not so much in the degree of association they provide, but rather in which part of the distributions the association is strongest. Often needed for property and casualty applications are copulas that emphasize correlation among large losses, i.e., in the right tails of the distributions. Several copulas that do this are discussed.

To describe aspects of the copulas, univariate functions of copulas are introduced, for example, tail concentration functions. These descriptive functions can be thought of as an intermediate step between correlation coefficients, such as Kendall, Spearman, Gini, etc., which are zero-dimensional measures of association, and the multi-dimensional copulas function itself.

The descriptive functions can be used to select copulas having desired characteristics, such as tail concentration, and they can also be used in the fitting process to judge how well the fitted copulas match those aspects of the data.

Volume
LXXXIX
Page
68-113
Year
2002
Categories
Financial and Statistical Methods
Simulation
Copulas/Multi-Variate Distributions
Financial and Statistical Methods
Loss Distributions
Financial and Statistical Methods
Statistical Models and Methods
Publications
Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society
Prizes
Dorweiler Prize
Authors
Gary G Venter
Documents