A GLM-Based Approach to Adjusting for Changes in Case Reserve Adequacy

Abstract
This paper will address adjusting incurred loss triangles for changes in case reserve adequacy. This proposal is an attempt to improve upon the traditional Berquist-Sherman Method by using a generalized linear model of case reserves as the basis for restating case reserves at earlier evaluations rather than using average case reserves as the basis.

Keywords: Case reserve adequacy; generalized linear modeling; reserving; reserve strengthening

Volume
Summer, Vol 2
Page
1-17
Year
2012
Keywords
predictive analytics
Categories
Financial and Statistical Methods
Statistical Models and Methods
Generalized Linear Modeling
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Reserving
Publications
Casualty Actuarial Society E-Forum