Key Q-Duration - A Framework for Hedging Longevity Risk

Abstract
When hedging longevity risk with standardized contracts, the hedger needs to calibrate the hedge carefully so that it can effectively reduce the risk. In this article, we present a calibration method that is based on matching mortality rate sensitivities. Specifically, we introduce a measure called key q-duration, which allows us to estimate the price sensitivity of a life-contingent liability to each portion of the underlying mortality curve. Given this measure, one can easily construct a longevity hedge with a small number of q-forward contracts. We further propose an extension for hedging the longevity risk associated with multiple birth cohorts, and another extension for accommodating population basis risk.

Keywords: Cairns-Blake-Dowd model; q-forwards; Securitization.

Volume
Vol. 42, No. 2
Page
1-40
Year
2012
Categories
Actuarial Applications and Methodologies
Dynamic Risk Modeling
Solvency Analysis
Publications
ASTIN Bulletin