Browse Research

Viewing 2901 to 2925 of 7690 results
2003
A number of actuarial risk-pricing methods calculate risk-adjusted price from the probability distribution of future outcomes. Such methods implicitly assume that the probability distribution of outcomes contains enough information to determine an economically accurate risk adjustment. In this paper, it will be shown that distinct risks having identical distributions of outcomes generally have different arbitrage-free prices.
2003
Much has been done in recent years to quantify the impact of hurricanes and earthquakes on Homeowners loss experience, primarily through the construction of simulation models. Non-modeled catastrophes, primarily Wind, have retained the standard catastrophe ratemaking methodology. This paper examines various different ways of improving that methodology via the incorporation of other states' data.
2003
CAS Study Note
2003
We consider optimal dividend payment under the constraint that the controlled risk process has a ruin probability which does not exceed a given bound. The underlying simple model has independent identically distributed total claims per year and a constant yearly premium, all integers. The solution to this constraint optimization problem is given in a modified Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation.
2003
A number of methods of allocating capital to business unit, e.g., line of business, profit center, etc., are discussed. Goals of capital allocation include testing the profitability of business units and determining which units could best be grown to add value to the firm. Methods of approaching these questions without allocating capital are included in the discussion. Keywords: capital allocation, risk measures
2003
Based on the example of the Belgian Bonus-Malus scale, we will show in this article how to calculate the relative premiums associated with each level. These premiums will depend on the a priori ratemaking carried out preliminary. On the basis of a few examples we will also demonstrate how a Bonus-Malus system can be used as a marketing tool.
2003
This paper extends the credibility weighted intensity estimation ideas of Hardy and Panjer (1998) and Nielsen and Sandqvist (2000) to the proportional intensity case, where the level of each intensity is estimated from data and used to construct the credibility weighted estimator in areas of data sparsity.
2003
The well-known inflation-independent exposure rating curves from Property reinsurance (see e.g. [4] or [2]) cannot be deduced in Liability insurance in the same way because here the claims sizes cannot be assumed to be scaled by the sums insured.
2003
In the insurance and reinsurance industry, Normal and LogNormal distributions are widely used to model loss ratios. This might lead to an underestimation of the tail. To address this problem we propose a new distribution which we call Czeledin distribution. It is a combination of a LogNormal and a Pareto distribution.
2003
In this paper, a method will be illustrated which begins at the aggregate (portfolio) level for evaluating risk, and ends by producing prices for the component individual risks, effectively allocating the total portfolio risk charge. The result is an internally consistent allocation of diversification benefits.
2003
This article describes some of the ongoing regulatory initiatives in the United Kingdom and the changing role that actuaries are being asked to play in that regulatory model. Regulators in the US will see some similarities and some differences in the way in which auditors and actuaries are being asked to provide certifications.
2003
The Stanard-Bühlmann reserving method, commonly used by reinsurance actuaries, combines the stability of expected loss methods with the adherence to empirical data that is characteristic of the chain ladder method.
2003
Before discussing the effects of the attacks of 11 September 2001, we should be aware that the effects on the insurance industry, as serious as they may be, are small compared with the enormous human tragedy and the direct and indirect economic losses suffered by the City of New York. When analysing the effects of the terrible events of September 11, it is useful to make a distinction between direct and indirect effects.
2003
This article focuses on the evolution of the Terrorism Insurance Risk Act of 2002 and uses event study methodology to measure the effect of this legislation on the market price of the common stocks of insurers.
2003
Source of earnings analysis has long been a staple of life insurance policy pricing and profitability monitoring. It has grown in importance with the advent of universal life insurance and similar contracts with non-guaranteed benefits or charges.
2003
This paper seeks to provide an understanding of the background to the search for an international standard for insurance contracts, which was initiated by the International Accounting Standards Committee (IASC) in 1997 and is still proceeding under its successor, the International Accounting Standard Board (IASB).
2003
With their paper, "Capital Allocation for Insurance Companies," Stewart Myers and James Read have added a great contribution to the finance literature relating to the property and casualty insurance industry. On its face, and taking as given that capital allocation is necessary, the Myers-Read methodology is intuitively appealing and mathematically elegant.
2003
The ideas of a former note on loss reserving are taken up again. As result a more practicable loss reserving method comes out, that is a refinement of classical procedures.
2003
This paper considers a simple context in which we can quantify the impact of the payment schedule on paid loss development. To isolate the effect of the payment schedule, we restrict to the special case when all claims have the same incurred loss.
2003
Contemporary business outsourcing has extended beyond manufacturing to include service sector industries, including insurance. There are developed theoretical arguments that both support and reject insurance claims handling as a service that should be determined by the market and outsourced where possible.
2003
This paper surveys risk measures and proposes a generalised form of risk measure which covers most of the risk measures in literature such as volatility, Value-at-Risk, ruin probability, scenario-based risk measures, utility-based risk measures and risk function in decision theory.
2003
We consider the issue of modeling the so-called hidden severity exposure occurring through either incomplete data or an unobserved underlying risk factor. We use the celebrated EM algorithm as a convenient tool in detecting latent (unobserved) risks in finite mixture models of claim severity and in problems where data imputation is needed.
2003
This paper contains a survey over the mathematical foundations, properties and potential applications of copulas in insurance and finance. Special emphasis is put on relationships between copulas and correlation as well as dependence measures, parametric families of copulas, Archimedian copulas (in particular in higher dimensions), tail dependence and general stochastic processes.
2003
This contribution originates in the ideas and discussion held during the first meeting of the Montepaschi Vita Forum on "The Paradigms of Value: The Integrated Distribution of Insurance and Financial Services", held in Rome on 18 October 2002 and co-organized by The Geneva Association.