Cash Flow Solvency
Discussion of notable insolvencies due to liquid assets with an introduction to cash-flow as opposed to balance-sheet solvency
Source:
2005 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar (CLRS)
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Leigh Halliwell
Keywords:
Solvency testing, reserve funding, duration
Go with the Flow: Assest Liquidity and Insurer solvency
Discussion of notable insolvencies due to liquid assets with an introduction to cash-flow as opposed to balance-sheet solvency
Source:
2005 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar (CLRS)
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Leigh Halliwell
Keywords:
Solvency testing, reserve funding, duration
Cash Flow Solvency
Discussion of notable insolvencies due to liquid assets with an introduction to cash-flow as opposed to balance-sheet solvency
Source:
2005 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar (CLRS)
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Leigh Halliwell
Keywords:
Solvency testing, reserve funding, duration
Reserve Actuary & Risk Assessment
Demonstration of the value of the reserve actuary and description of now actuarial information and models can be used to help identify and mitigate financial risk on the insurer's balance sheet
Source:
2005 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar (CLRS)
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Robert Eramo, Christopher Tait, Ronald Kuehn
Keywords:
Loss Reserve Specialist, Risk Assessment, Risk, Risk Transfer, Analytical Guidelines
Katrina
An approach to reserving for known catastrophes using reported loss data focusing on 2004 Floria Hurricanes
Source:
2005 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar (CLRS)
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Paul Kneuer, John Rollings
Keywords:
Katrina, hurricane
Hurricane reserve development: Lessons from Florida in 2004
An approach to reserving for known catastrophes using reported loss data focusing on 2004 Floria Hurricanes
Source:
2005 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar (CLRS)
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Paul Kneuer, John Rollings
Keywords:
Hurricane, reserve
What to do when you cannot use credit
Discussion of development and application of alternative scoring models without using credit information
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Cheng-Sheng Wu, Gary Haith
Predictive Modeling for Commercial Risks
Review of the current predictive modeling development for commercial lines applications
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Beth Fitzgerald, Cheng-Sheng Wu
Predictive Modeling for Smaller Companies
Discussion of why predictive modeling has become more important for small-medium sized insurers and how these insurers address some of the unique issues they face when developing models
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Roosevelt Mosley, Richard Smith
On predictive modeling for claim severity
Discussion of special techniques such as generalised additive models (GAM) and maximum likelihood procedures to model data in these cases
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Keith Holler, Glenn Meyers
Claims/Agency Metrics and other nontraditional applications of predictive modeling
Discussion of real examples of how these nontraditional models are applied, including using predictive modeling in legislative costing.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Shawna Ackerman, Roosevelt Mosley
Non-traditional applications of predictive modeling
Discussion of real examples of how these nontraditional models are applied, including using predictive modeling in legislative costing.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Shawna Ackerman, Roosevelt Mosley
CART from A to B
Discussion of basic concepts of CART and also suggest a variety of actuarial applications.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
James Guszcza, Daniel Steinberg
What to do when you cannot use credit
Discussion of development and application of alternative scoring models without using credit information.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Michael Dubin
Panelists:
Cheng-Sheng Wu, Gary Haith
Introduction to Bootstrapping
Introduction of "Bootstrapping" an intuitive, simulation-based method that can be used to calculate the variance of most estimators.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
James Guszcza, Christopher Monsour
The Basics of Model Validation
Introduction of the various diagnostic and validation techniques
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
James Guszcza, Christopher Monsour
Generalized Addictive Models
Discussion of special techniques such as generalized addictive models (GAM) and maximum likelihood procedures to model data.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Keith Holler, Glenn Meyers
Implementation of Predictive Modes - Making Models Come Alive
Discussion of end-to-end implementation of predictive models, some methods and techniques for success
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
John Lucker, Michele Yeagley
Dimension Reduction for Workers Compensation
Guidance to practitioners attempting a classification plan review.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Thomas Hettinger
Panelists:
Jennifer Oglenski
Dimension Reduction for Workers Compensation
Guidance to practitioners attempting a classification plan review.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Thomas Hettinger
Panelists:
Jennifer Oglenski
Varieties Statistical Fraud Models - 30 models in 30 minutes
An overview of the insurance claims fraud problem, emphasizing claims processing and fradualent and abusive claims detection
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Richard Derrig, Daniel Finnegan
Fraud-Fighting Actuaries
An overview of the insurance claims fraud problem, emphasizing claims processing and fradualent and abusive claims detection
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Richard Derrig, Daniel Finnegan
Determination of Statistically Optimal Geographical Territory Boundaries
Presentation of Modeling Techniques used to determine appropriate geographical risk classification boundaries and rate factors
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Moderators:
Thomas Hettinger
Panelists:
Gregory Hayward, Klayton Southwood, Serhat Guven
Boosting Performance with external data
Presentation of key issues surrounding external data
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
Brett Nunes, Gary Ciardiello, Richard Vlasimsky
Homeownders Modeling
Presentation outlining a case for modeling homeowners separately by peril.
Source:
2005 Special Interest Seminar on Predictive Modeling
Type:
concurrent
Panelists:
A. Cummings, Claudine Modin